Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -7 (57-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Harris | 38 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Carroll | 32 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Crane | 31 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Pak | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Nelson | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| C. McGowen | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Holmes | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Neil | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| I. McVey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Calvin Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Parker | 40 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| V. Vukusic | 37 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| D. Duvancic | 34 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Doyle | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Hachad | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Seacat | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Lee | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Carson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter