Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals +3 (81-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.