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2004-11-20

Model Predictions

Model UC Riverside Highlanders Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 76.2% 23.8% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 33.7% 66.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.3% 76.7% -
Log Adjusted 23.2% 76.8% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Porter 35 5-14 2-8 2-5 3 3 1 0 3 14 4 -
S. Williams 27 4-8 2-4 1-1 1 0 1 0 1 11 4 -
V. Morton 25 7-8 0-0 3-5 9 1 0 1 6 17 14 -
B. Ost 20 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
J. Henning 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
J. Bell 19 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 0 0 -
K. Schille 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -2 -
L. Cunningham 15 1-9 1-4 0-2 4 2 0 0 3 3 -3 -
M. Calicott 12 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
D. Bates 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Misko 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Boykin Jr. 32 5-9 0-1 6-7 4 2 2 0 2 16 13 -
K. Feuerbach 32 0-6 0-5 4-4 1 2 1 0 1 4 1 -
K. Golob 28 4-8 1-3 1-2 3 1 1 0 3 10 4 -
S. Garnett 26 4-6 0-1 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 10 10 -
K. Landry 26 5-6 0-0 6-6 6 0 2 0 1 16 17 -
D. Stevens 22 5-8 0-1 3-4 5 3 2 0 4 13 11 -
C. Hill 15 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
R. McCurdy 11 2-3 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
W. Hensley 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Hooks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Van Patten 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter