Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | -3.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Chaney | 30 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Thompson | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Ahearn | 26 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| A. Shavies | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Easley | 24 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Maclin | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Bilyeu | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Richards | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Frazier | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Nicholson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Thues | 38 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 12 | - |
| B. Green | 32 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Kelly | 30 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Baker | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Covile | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Z. Everingham | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Bailey | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Shaw | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Clark Headen | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Abdur-Rahim | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter