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2004-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Fullerton Titans Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 66.9% 33.1% -8.8 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 71.9% 28.1% - โœ“
Margin 73.1% 26.9% -5.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 60.6% 39.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 84.7% 15.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 84.9% 15.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.1% 37.9% - โœ“

Actual: Colgate Raiders -7 (68-75). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bobby Brown 35 7-12 5-9 2-2 1 4 2 0 0 21 16 -
H. Asprilla 35 3-8 0-0 7-8 14 1 0 0 2 13 18 -
Jermaine Harper 35 5-16 3-14 2-2 4 7 1 0 3 15 8 -
Derek Quinet 25 3-4 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
Yaphett King 23 5-10 1-3 0-1 6 1 1 0 2 11 7 -
Justin Burns 20 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
Vershan Cottrell 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
John Clemmons 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Andrew Awad 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Zidar 34 3-9 1-3 2-2 7 3 1 1 3 9 9 -
Jon Simon 32 6-15 3-7 9-10 4 1 0 0 0 24 14 -
A. Reed 31 4-12 2-7 4-6 0 4 0 0 4 14 2 -
Kyle Roemer 30 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -8 -
Keith Williams 25 5-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 10 14 -
J. Foss 23 1-1 0-0 4-6 5 1 0 0 1 6 10 -
Marc Daniels 17 0-1 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 2 7 -
N. Beresford 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Todd Checovich 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Daniel Green 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Peter Minchella 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Tim Pounds 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter