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2004-11-20

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs Army Black Knights Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 77.5% 22.5% - โœ“
Margin 61.2% 38.8% -2.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 76.4% 23.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.2% 19.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.5% 43.5% - โœ“

Actual: Army Black Knights -7 (62-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Everhart 33 6-10 2-3 3-3 8 1 0 0 4 17 12 -
D. Terry 32 2-8 1-7 4-4 2 2 2 0 1 9 6 -
M. Davis 32 0-2 0-2 1-2 7 1 1 1 0 1 9 -
K. Hammack 28 3-10 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 0 7 8 -4 -
T. Smith 22 6-9 4-7 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 16 10 -
A. Miller 21 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 1 4 8 -
D. McLendon 14 2-3 0-1 2-6 5 1 0 0 2 6 7 -
W. McLendon 14 2-3 0-1 2-6 5 1 0 0 2 6 7 -
D. Nelson 12 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
A. Xia 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bell 38 3-9 2-5 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 9 3 -
S. Stoll 32 6-10 3-6 2-2 1 3 0 0 4 17 7 -
J. Jessing 29 5-11 0-2 4-5 4 1 0 0 2 14 6 -
D. Gibson 27 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 8 7 -
R. Wallace 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 4 1 -
L. Slater 19 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Jackson 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Sewell 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 -
A. Griffin 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter