Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +5.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies -3 (52-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Avant | 33 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Yelle | 32 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Nash | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Rose | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Johnson | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| W. Bakanowsky | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Williams | 17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| A. Gill | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Harris | 36 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| S. Nelson | 30 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 8-9 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J. Carroll | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Pak | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| M. Crane | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Neil | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Calvin Brown | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Holmes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. McGowen | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. McVey | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter