Model Predictions
| Model | Massachusetts Minutewomen | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.0% | 30.0% | -4.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +6 (56-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.