Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 89.7% | 10.3% | -11.9 | ✗ (22.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. May * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 25 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Q. Thomas * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. McCants | 34 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| M. Williams | 21 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Scott | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Noel | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| W. Miller | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Sanders | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Terry | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Everett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Hooker | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bailey * | 37 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 11 | - |
| B. Angley * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Legge * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| S. Borchart * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Niesen | 31 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | - |
| D. Perkins | 26 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| E. Rohde | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Parham | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Dougherty | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Henke | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter