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2004-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 76.8% 23.2% -
Bradley-Terry 77.0% 23.0% -
Margin 83.0% 17.0% -8.7 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% -
Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.0% 47.0% -
Log Adjusted 53.3% 46.7% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -3 (53-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Vukusic 39 4-15 2-13 2-2 4 5 1 1 4 12 4 -
T.J. Parker 38 7-12 3-6 1-2 2 2 0 1 0 18 11 -
D. Duvancic 36 4-6 0-0 0-4 9 3 1 0 2 8 13 -
T. Doyle 34 2-3 2-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 6 9 -
M. Hachad 22 1-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 2 -2 -
E. Seacat 13 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
B. Lee 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
A. Carson 4 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
I. Tolic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jeter 34 3-13 1-6 4-6 8 3 0 0 1 11 8 -
D. Wilson 31 3-8 0-0 2-2 4 1 4 0 2 8 7 -
K. Aaker 27 2-7 1-6 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
B. Sullivan 22 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 6 0 -
D. Vance 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Lewis 18 5-8 0-0 4-6 11 0 1 0 1 14 17 -
A. Gahlmann 17 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
D. Cooper 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
J. Dominguez 15 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 3 2 -

* = starter