Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | +15.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.7% | 98.3% | +22.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +18 (88-70). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Oppland | 36 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| A. Berdiel | 31 | 2-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | - |
| R. Howard | 28 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. Miles | 26 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| S. Huff | 22 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Mbaye | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Harris | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Colclasure | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Loyd | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Muhammad | 34 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| E. Hicks | 33 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - |
| J. Maxiell | 27 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| C. Moore | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Kirkland | 20 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Lucas | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. White | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Bright | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| N. Williams | 10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter