Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.0% | 83.0% | +8.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +14 (54-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.