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2004-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 13.0% 87.0% -
Margin 4.6% 95.4% +16.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.6% 86.4% -
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +7 (66-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stehle 34 4-9 0-1 5-10 10 2 1 2 6 13 13 -
K. Rogus 32 4-9 2-7 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 10 2 -
J. Norman 30 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
B. Cusworth 29 6-9 0-1 3-3 13 1 0 2 2 15 20 -
M. Beal 26 1-5 0-1 2-4 6 1 0 1 4 4 3 -
J. Goffredo 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
G. Beatty 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
D. Giovacchini 13 2-5 0-0 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 6 5 -
L. McCrone 4 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
T. Klunick 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Thomas 39 7-19 2-7 1-2 3 5 3 0 2 17 7 -
C. Quinn 38 6-15 1-6 7-7 4 0 6 0 0 20 15 -
T. Francis 32 2-6 0-0 3-5 9 0 1 2 1 7 12 -
D. Latimore 30 2-10 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 2 2 6 7 -
J. Cornette 22 2-5 0-2 2-2 4 1 3 1 1 6 9 -
C. Falls 18 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
R. Cornett 9 2-4 0-0 0-3 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
O. Isreal 7 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
R. Kurz 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

* = starter