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2004-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% -
Margin 18.1% 81.9% +8.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.2% 56.8% -
Log Adjusted 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Roby * 35 6-12 2-4 4-4 5 1 4 1 2 18 15 -
G. Eddy * 28 0-5 0-2 2-2 6 4 2 1 1 2 9 -
L. Arrington * 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 3 0 0 -
J. Obazuaye * 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Osborn * 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Ashby 33 4-11 0-0 0-0 11 1 3 6 4 8 14 -
M. Hall 24 7-12 0-2 2-2 3 3 1 0 3 16 8 -
C. Copeland 19 3-6 3-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 9 7 -
A. McGee 13 0-2 0-1 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Freeman 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 3 -1 -
M. King-Stockton 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 4 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Abram * 39 3-10 0-2 6-7 7 3 1 0 3 12 10 -
D. Harris * 38 7-12 3-6 7-7 2 4 5 0 3 24 20 -
D. Horton * 36 3-10 1-3 1-2 3 6 5 0 2 8 10 -
C. Sims * 29 5-16 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 5 0 10 10 -
G. Brown * 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 2 6 8 -
B. Petway 23 4-8 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 1 2 9 7 -
C. Hunter 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
S. Harrell 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Coleman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter