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2004-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Ole Miss Rebels Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 78.6% 21.4% -
Bradley-Terry 58.9% 41.1% -
Margin 59.4% 40.6% -2.1 (20.1 off)

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +18 (70-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Nolen 30 4-7 1-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 9 9 -
T. Abernethy 27 2-7 0-1 1-2 3 2 1 0 4 5 0 -
J. Parnell 26 1-3 0-0 1-4 2 0 1 0 2 3 1 -
J. Johnson 18 1-5 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
D. Harden 18 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
K. Fox 17 3-7 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 8 1 -
C. Rhodes 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 2 2 -
B. Doyne 12 3-3 2-2 3-4 0 3 0 0 1 11 10 -
B. Smith 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Patterson 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Moore 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Jackson 6 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
K. Williams 4 1-2 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 0 2 4 3 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Dilligard 32 3-3 0-0 1-1 11 1 0 3 3 7 16 -
Lorenzo Gordon 31 8-13 0-0 6-11 10 1 1 0 1 22 20 -
T. Guidry 28 9-12 4-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 24 15 -
G. Alexander 26 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
Vince Greene 25 1-3 1-3 4-4 0 2 2 0 6 7 2 -
N. Onyeuku 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 2 0 -
R. Carlwell 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 1 0 2 -
K. Ford 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 0 5 -
D. Ford 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Wallace 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Dyer 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter