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2004-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 89.2% 10.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% -
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 26.4% 73.6% -
Efficiency 4.7% 95.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Log Adjusted 22.3% 77.7% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Owens 35 6-13 3-7 1-2 0 4 3 0 0 16 10 -
L. Smith 33 4-10 3-4 3-5 2 2 0 0 4 14 4 -
A. Francis 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
B. Latham 20 1-5 0-2 2-2 1 1 3 0 4 4 0 -
R. Dyer 20 4-6 0-1 1-3 6 1 2 1 0 9 13 -
E. Cherrington 17 2-5 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
C. Lawson 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -
D. Jones II 15 2-4 0-0 2-3 2 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
R. Hannah 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
S. de Randamie 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Hensley 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Shelton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Kleiza 36 7-13 3-4 2-4 14 5 1 0 4 19 22 -
Jason Conley 31 4-9 4-6 2-2 6 4 0 1 4 14 12 -
J. McKinney 27 3-4 1-2 9-10 4 3 0 0 2 16 17 -
K. Young 26 4-7 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 1 1 8 8 -
J. Horton 21 0-2 0-2 1-3 1 4 0 0 4 1 0 -
C. Evans 20 6-11 4-8 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 18 9 -
S. Laurie 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 3 2 0 2 1 4 -
M. Brown 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
K. Grimes 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
G. Dandridge 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter