Model Predictions
| Model | Marquette Golden Eagles | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.4% | 22.6% | -6.8 | ✓ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -28 (32-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mason | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Diener | 27 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| S. Novak | 26 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Jackson | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - |
| J. Chapman | 25 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Townsend | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| O. Barro | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Kinsella | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Grimm | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Hanley | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Dilligard | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Vince Greene | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Guidry | 24 | 1-11 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| G. Alexander | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 21 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 19 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| D. Ford | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Wallace | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| L. Dyer | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter