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2004-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 15.9% 84.1% -
Bradley-Terry 11.1% 88.9% -
Margin 4.0% 96.0% +17.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 87.6% 12.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.0% 89.0% -
Log Adjusted 11.0% 89.0% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ruscoe * 38 4-11 1-5 5-6 10 1 2 0 3 14 13 -
M. Becker * 31 1-4 0-3 2-6 4 4 0 0 6 4 2 -
D. Huffman * 30 5-10 5-7 1-1 3 4 0 0 2 16 11 -
P.J. Flaherty * 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
S. Manhanga * 20 2-9 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 2 4 -4 -
A. Coulibaly 21 4-6 3-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 4 11 8 -
J. Daniels 14 2-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 5 5 -
M. MacDonald 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 3 1 -1 -
M. McAndrew 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Jeppesen 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Kleiza * 32 7-18 0-2 3-5 9 0 0 0 0 17 8 -
J. McKinney * 32 2-9 1-2 0-1 6 0 2 0 1 5 3 -
J. Horton * 27 2-7 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 7 2 -
Jason Conley * 18 1-6 1-4 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
K. Young * 18 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
C. Evans 31 7-16 3-10 2-3 12 4 2 0 1 19 20 -
M. Brown 16 0-2 0-1 6-8 1 1 2 0 2 6 6 -
S. Laurie 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 3 5 -
K. Grimes 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 2 5 -
G. Dandridge 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter