Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (25.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +34 (93-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Perkins | 30 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Bailey | 30 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Niesen | 27 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | - |
| T. Parham | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Legge | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Dougherty | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Rohde | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Angley | 14 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| M. Henke | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Tibbets | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Borchart | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Neal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. DeVries | 26 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Granger | 25 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| A. Neale | 22 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Collins | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Danridge | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Walters | 19 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| D. Chiotti | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. Osby | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Prentice | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Wall | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Hart | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Walter | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Phaler | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter