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2004-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% -
Bradley-Terry 16.3% 83.7% -
Margin 8.2% 91.8% +13.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -
Efficiency 1.6% 98.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% -
Log Adjusted 3.4% 96.6% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange +11 (56-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Greenman 36 2-7 2-6 1-2 4 0 2 0 3 7 3 -
L. Owings 33 2-5 0-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 4 4 -
W. Venable 32 5-5 1-1 6-6 6 1 2 0 1 17 20 -
J. Wallace 23 4-11 1-4 2-2 1 2 1 3 2 11 5 -
M. Schafer 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 3 2 -
M. Stephens 21 1-5 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 1 0 3 2 -
N. Savage 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Sargeant 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Koncz 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nichols 40 4-9 3-6 3-5 3 2 0 0 0 14 10 -
G. McNamara 40 2-9 2-9 1-3 0 3 0 0 2 7 -1 -
H. Warrick 40 6-9 0-0 8-10 6 1 3 2 5 20 18 -
J. Pace 26 1-5 0-0 1-2 2 5 2 0 1 3 6 -
T. Roberts 26 3-5 0-0 2-3 6 0 2 0 0 8 11 -
L. McCroskey 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -3 -
C. Forth 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter