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2004-10-03

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 11.1% 88.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.3% 78.7% - โœ“
Margin 15.9% 84.1% +9.2 โœ“ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.0% 81.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“

Actual: Connecticut Sun +3 (60-57). Ratings: 2005 season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vickie Johnson * 35 7-13 1-2 4-4 4 1 1 0 1 19 11 -
Becky Hammon * 34 1-5 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 5 2 0 -
Crystal Robinson * 31 4-11 1-5 2-2 3 4 2 0 2 11 7 -
Elena Baranova * 31 2-7 1-3 2-2 6 2 2 1 3 7 8 -
Bethany Donaphin * 20 2-7 0-0 0-0 0 0 3 0 0 4 0 -
La'Keshia Frett 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 6 4 -
Shameka Christon 11 2-4 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
DeTrina White 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K.B. Sharp 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Erin Thorn 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 37 8-15 1-1 1-2 9 2 2 1 3 18 14 -
Nykesha Sales * 34 3-12 3-6 2-2 4 2 2 1 3 11 5 -
Katie Douglas * 33 4-13 0-6 6-6 4 4 1 0 2 14 8 -
Lindsay Whalen * 31 3-5 0-0 5-7 3 3 1 0 3 11 10 -
Wendy Palmer * 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
Asjha Jones 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 2 2 -
Jessica Brungo 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Debbie Black 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
Le'coe Willingham 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter