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2004-09-27

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 23.6% 76.4% +6.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.0% 63.0% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Melvin 31 4-8 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 2 0 12 11 -
A. Beard 30 4-13 0-0 7-7 4 2 0 3 3 15 8 -
S. Dales 27 2-8 1-5 5-5 7 0 0 0 2 10 7 -
T. Jackson 26 6-10 3-4 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 17 10 -
M. Page 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 -1 -
A. Smith 18 1-9 0-3 1-1 5 1 1 0 4 3 -3 -
C. Miller 18 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 4 0 2 8 6 -
N. Sanford 13 1-1 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 1 0 5 7 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Sales 31 4-11 1-1 4-4 7 2 7 1 4 13 15 -
K. Douglas 28 1-2 1-1 4-4 3 2 0 0 3 7 7 -
L. Whalen 28 3-3 0-0 15-16 2 6 0 0 0 21 26 -
W. Palmer 28 4-8 1-3 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 12 7 -
A. Jones 25 5-13 0-0 2-2 1 1 2 0 2 12 1 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 17 3-7 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 8 5 -
J. Brungo 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Black 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 5 6 -
L. Willingham 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter