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2004-09-26

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Shock New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% - โœ—
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 โœ— (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% - โœ—

Actual: New York Liberty -10 (66-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nolan 40 6-12 1-3 5-5 2 2 1 0 6 18 5 -
R. Riley 39 3-6 0-0 7-8 6 4 1 1 0 13 19 -
C. Ford 37 7-15 0-0 7-10 9 0 2 2 4 21 15 -
B. Farris 35 3-7 0-0 5-6 9 1 1 0 3 11 12 -
E. Powell 28 1-3 0-0 3-4 0 9 6 0 1 5 16 -
M. Jones 12 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 8 8 -
S. Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hammon 36 3-9 3-9 0-0 2 5 1 0 6 9 2 -
C. Robinson 35 6-13 3-8 0-0 5 3 2 0 2 15 10 -
L. Frett 33 9-18 0-1 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 20 7 -
E. Baranova 28 1-3 0-1 1-2 7 6 0 2 4 3 11 -
V. Johnson 26 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 2 6 -
S. Christon 16 4-7 4-7 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 13 10 -
B. Donaphin 11 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 4 3 -
D. White 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
K.B. Sharp 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter