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2004-09-25

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 58.4% 41.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 50.5% 49.5% -0.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% -

Actual: Washington Mystics +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Sales 33 1-9 0-3 2-6 4 2 2 0 2 4 1 -
K. Douglas 30 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 5 3 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 29 5-10 0-1 1-2 9 1 1 0 0 11 12 -
L. Whalen 29 5-9 2-2 4-4 1 3 2 1 3 16 11 -
A. Jones 26 5-9 0-0 4-5 4 3 0 0 0 14 12 -
L. Willingham 13 2-3 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
W. Palmer 12 1-6 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
D. Black 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Brungo 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Melvin 37 5-12 0-0 7-10 11 4 1 1 0 17 22 -
A. Beard 34 5-13 0-1 3-3 8 5 2 1 3 13 13 -
M. Page 30 4-6 0-0 1-2 7 3 0 1 0 9 14 -
S. Dales 30 4-6 0-1 2-7 3 2 1 0 4 10 6 -
N. Sanford 20 1-7 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
A. Smith 17 4-4 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 10 8 -
C. Miller 15 2-9 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 6 2 -
T. Jackson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter