Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +20 (80-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Williams | 27 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Catchings | 24 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 10-12 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 31 | - |
| C. Brown | 24 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -6 | - |
| D. Jackson | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Miller | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Ivey | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 31 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| N. Sales | 26 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| A. Jones | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| L. Whalen | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Black | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Brungo | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Willingham | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| W. Palmer | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Futrell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter