๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2004-09-19

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 5.3% 94.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.0% 86.0% - โœ“
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 31.3% 68.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.4% 90.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.4% 90.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +9 (72-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nicole Ohlde * 31 7-11 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 2 1 15 14 -
Helen Darling * 31 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 7 1 0 5 5 9 -
Svetlana Abrosimova * 31 5-12 4-8 7-10 2 2 0 1 2 21 12 -
Tamika Raymond * 27 3-6 0-0 1-4 4 0 3 0 0 7 8 -
Teresa Edwards * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 0 -1 -
Vanessa Hayden 23 3-9 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 2 2 8 4 -
Stacey Lovelace 19 3-11 1-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 6 7 -5 -
Amanda Lassiter 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Amber Jacobs 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 0 -1 -
Tasha Butts 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kara Lawson * 37 4-9 0-2 9-9 6 8 3 0 3 17 22 -
Yolanda Griffith * 32 6-10 0-0 6-8 7 1 5 2 3 18 20 -
Tangela Smith * 29 5-12 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 5 10 2 -
DeMya Walker * 27 4-6 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 10 0 -
Edna Campbell * 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ruthie Bolton 19 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 7 8 -
Hamchetou Maiga-Ba 12 1-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
Rebekkah Brunson 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 4 8 -
Chantelle Anderson 6 1-4 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
Lady Grooms 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter