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2004-09-19

Model Predictions

Model Houston Comets Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 25.2% 74.8% -
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% -
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +14 (78-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Thompson 36 4-11 2-4 7-8 3 2 0 0 4 17 7 -
F. Ragland 29 1-5 0-1 2-2 4 3 3 0 1 4 8 -
D. Canty 25 4-8 0-0 4-7 3 3 1 0 2 12 9 -
M. Snow 23 1-6 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 3 4 -1 -
O. Blue 22 5-8 0-1 3-3 2 2 0 0 1 13 8 -
T. Johnson 21 4-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 10 7 -
P. Johns Kimbrough 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
S. Lambert 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 4 0 -
L. Johnson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Pierson 37 11-20 0-1 2-3 5 0 1 1 1 24 10 -
A. DeForge 34 7-12 3-6 7-7 3 3 2 0 2 24 18 -
D. Taurasi 31 4-13 1-4 5-5 7 6 2 0 3 14 13 -
P. Taylor 31 3-6 2-5 2-4 6 4 3 1 4 10 14 -
S. Tuvic 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 4 5 -
N. McCray-Penson 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Kingi-Cross 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
K. Christensen 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Robinson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter