Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✗ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Beard | 36 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| C. Melvin | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| M. Page | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Miller | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Dales | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Sanford | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Jackson | 13 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Smith | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 11-23 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | - |
| A. DeForge | 36 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| P. Taylor | 32 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| P. Pierson | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Jackson | 15 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Christensen | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. McCray-Penson | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Kingi-Cross | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter