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2004-09-14

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Detroit Shock Spread Result
Elo 41.2% 58.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% -
Margin 34.8% 65.2% +3.4 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -

Actual: Detroit Shock +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hammon 42 5-15 1-5 3-4 2 8 5 0 1 14 13 -
V. Johnson 40 3-10 1-3 2-2 7 4 2 0 3 9 9 -
C. Robinson 35 5-12 2-7 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 14 6 -
B. Donaphin 32 3-5 0-0 0-2 4 0 2 2 3 6 6 -
E. Baranova 29 5-11 2-3 0-0 10 4 1 0 4 12 12 -
L. Frett 12 4-5 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 1 0 8 9 -
D. White 8 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 6 9 -
S. Christon 5 1-6 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -4 -
E. Thorn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nolan 42 4-13 1-4 5-7 8 3 1 0 4 14 9 -
M. Jones 35 2-13 0-2 2-2 8 4 2 0 2 6 5 -
R. Riley 34 8-16 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 4 2 16 7 -
C. Ford 31 8-12 0-0 4-7 13 3 2 1 0 20 27 -
E. Powell 22 5-8 0-0 0-2 3 7 3 0 2 10 13 -
I. Tillis 21 3-9 2-4 0-0 5 5 0 1 2 8 8 -
B. Farris 14 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
C. Jones 4 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter