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2004-09-08

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 61.2% 38.8% -
Bradley-Terry 61.9% 38.1% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +14 (72-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Leslie 36 5-8 0-1 10-12 14 3 1 2 7 20 25 -
D. Lewis 35 4-8 1-1 0-2 4 1 1 0 0 9 7 -
T. Whitmore 34 3-10 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 7 2 -
N. Teasley 33 2-15 2-5 3-4 5 3 1 1 5 9 -1 -
C. Thomas 26 4-9 1-2 3-6 5 1 2 0 2 12 9 -
T. Weatherspoon 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
M. Udoka 12 0-2 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. DeForge 35 8-14 1-4 0-0 4 3 1 2 2 17 11 -
D. Taurasi 34 8-21 2-7 3-6 6 8 2 0 2 21 14 -
P. Taylor 32 5-9 3-5 4-4 3 5 3 0 1 17 18 -
S. Tuvic 28 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 1 2 2 3 -
K. Christensen 24 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 2 2 0 1 5 8 -
P. Pierson 18 2-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
T. Moore 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 2 2 2 2 2 6 -
G. Jackson 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
N. McCray-Penson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter