Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.3 | ✗ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -17 (58-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 34 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| N. Williams | 31 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| D. Jackson | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Miller | 25 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| N. Ivey | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. White | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Beard | 34 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| N. Sanford | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Melvin | 27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| M. Page | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Dales | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Miller | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Smith | 11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Jackson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Brown | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter