Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -15 (55-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 35 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Sheri Sam * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Betty Lennox * | 33 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Simone Edwards | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Adia Barnes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Catrina Frierson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Tamika Raymond * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Teresa Edwards * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tasha Butts | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Vanessa Hayden | 20 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Stacey Lovelace | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Michele Van Gorp | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter