Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +9 (88-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Baranova * | 30 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Crystal Robinson * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 25 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Bethany Donaphin * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| La'Keshia Frett | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| DeTrina White | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheryl Ford * | 33 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Deanna Nolan * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Elaine Powell * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Merlakia Jones | 16 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Barbara Farris | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Chandi Jones | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Iciss Tillis | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter