Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -5 (80-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Leslie * | 47 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 44 | 8-28 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 43 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 41 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Laura Macchi * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Raffaella Masciadri | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Teresa Weatherspoon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Doneeka Lewis | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yolanda Griffith * | 43 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 38 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 37 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 33 | 6-15 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 31 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton | 25 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lady Grooms | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chantelle Anderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter