Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 30 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 5 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 29 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| N. Williams | 29 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| K. Miller | 29 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| S. White | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Starbird | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Brown | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Jackson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 31 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 22 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Walker | 25 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Lawson | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Bolton | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Brunson | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| G. Mendiola | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Grooms | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter