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2004-07-24

Model Predictions

Model Houston Comets Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.8 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sheryl Swoopes * 38 8-15 1-1 6-6 4 4 2 0 1 23 17 -
Tina Thompson * 37 6-17 1-3 0-0 3 4 3 2 2 13 6 -
Michelle Snow * 30 5-8 0-0 0-1 8 0 0 1 2 10 9 -
Sheila Lambert * 27 3-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 8 4 -
Kedra Holland-Corn * 26 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 2 -2 -
Tiffani Johnson 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 6 5 -
Felicia Ragland 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Pollyanna Johns Kimbrough 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauren Jackson * 38 9-17 3-4 5-5 9 3 3 5 4 26 25 -
Sue Bird * 35 3-13 1-5 1-2 4 4 1 0 1 8 3 -
Sheri Sam * 34 5-9 1-1 3-4 5 2 4 0 3 14 13 -
Betty Lennox * 33 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 0 -2 -
Kamila Vodichkova * 31 2-5 0-0 6-6 8 1 1 1 4 10 12 -
Simone Edwards 10 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 2 0 0 5 7 -
Adia Barnes 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Tully Bevilaqua 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Michelle Greco 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter