Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 34 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| K. Miller | 30 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| N. Williams | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. White | 25 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 23 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Jackson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Brown | 13 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 35 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| P. Taylor | 29 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| P. Pierson | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Kingi-Cross | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| G. Jackson | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Moore | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Wright | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| K. Christensen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter