Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +4 (65-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Ohlde * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 25 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Tamika Raymond * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Teresa Edwards * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Vanessa Hayden | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Tasha Butts | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Stacey Lovelace | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Beard * | 36 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 33 | 3-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -3 | - |
| Coco Miller * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Murriel Page * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Chasity Melvin | 22 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Aiysha Smith | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kaayla Chones | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter