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Model Predictions

Model Houston Comets Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% - โœ“
Margin 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +3 (70-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Sheryl Swoopes * 39 6-18 1-4 2-3 3 3 3 0 1 15 5 -
Tina Thompson * 37 6-20 1-2 0-0 9 2 2 0 0 13 6 -
Sheila Lambert * 30 1-9 0-2 4-6 3 4 0 0 1 6 3 -
Felicia Ragland * 26 2-4 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
Michelle Snow * 20 1-5 0-0 4-6 7 1 2 0 5 6 6 -
Kedra Holland-Corn 23 4-8 2-6 3-4 3 2 1 0 1 13 10 -
Pollyanna Johns Kimbrough 22 2-3 0-0 6-7 5 0 1 2 0 10 15 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Lisa Leslie * 38 6-10 0-0 4-8 11 3 1 4 1 16 24 -
Nikki Teasley * 35 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 5 0 0 2 8 7 -
Mwadi Mabika * 34 6-21 0-5 7-9 7 5 1 0 3 19 8 -
Tamecka Dixon * 26 5-8 1-1 1-2 8 3 0 0 2 12 13 -
Laura Macchi * 26 2-4 0-1 6-6 5 0 0 1 1 10 11 -
Raffaella Masciadri 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
Tamika Whitmore 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -5 -
Teresa Weatherspoon 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter