Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -16 (52-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 34 | 9-15 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde * | 31 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tamika Raymond * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Teresa Edwards * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Vanessa Hayden | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Stacey Lovelace | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tasha Butts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Wendy Palmer * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Debbie Black | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jessica Brungo | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter