Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +5 (59-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Miller * | 34 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 33 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Stephanie White * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Deanna Jackson * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Coretta Brown | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 38 | 8-19 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 35 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Betty Lennox * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Sheri Sam * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Adia Barnes | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Simone Edwards | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter