Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -2 (69-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 37 | 9-19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 36 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Slobodanka Tuvic * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jae Kingi-Cross | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shereka Wright | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tamara Moore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gwen Jackson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kayte Christensen | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 30 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 26 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 25 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Edna Campbell * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Lady Grooms | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Chantelle Anderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter