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2004-07-22

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 26.6% 73.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% -
Margin 30.7% 69.3% +4.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -2 (69-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Taurasi 37 9-19 4-6 0-0 8 4 3 1 2 22 17 -
A. DeForge 35 6-16 2-8 3-3 3 5 0 1 3 17 7 -
P. Pierson 34 4-7 0-0 5-9 5 1 0 0 2 13 10 -
S. Tuvic 26 0-1 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 2 5 -
P. Taylor 26 4-8 1-3 2-2 2 6 0 1 2 11 10 -
J. Kingi-Cross 16 1-2 1-1 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
A. Robinson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Moore 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Wright 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
K. Christensen 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Penicheiro 30 5-8 3-5 2-3 2 3 4 0 2 15 14 -
Y. Griffith 28 6-12 0-0 2-3 6 3 1 1 1 14 12 -
T. Smith 26 4-12 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 2 0 8 6 -
D. Walker 25 4-13 0-0 1-4 7 3 0 0 0 9 6 -
K. Lawson 24 2-7 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 0 -
R. Brunson 14 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 8 7 -
R. Bolton 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 5 10 -
H. Maiga-Ba 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 4 4 1 -
L. Grooms 10 1-5 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -3 -
C. Anderson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter