Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +32 (87-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agnieszka Bibrzycka * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Adrienne Goodson * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Shannon Johnson * | 30 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| LaToya Thomas * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 25 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tai Dillard | 11 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Toccara Williams | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Semeka Randall | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jessie Hicks | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mandisa Stevenson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penny Taylor * | 28 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 27 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 27 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Slobodanka Tuvic * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tamara Moore | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Shereka Wright | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kayte Christensen | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jae Kingi-Cross | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gwen Jackson | 11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter