Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +20 (96-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Beard * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 7-12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 29 | 6-20 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Murriel Page * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Coco Miller * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Chasity Melvin | 24 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Aiysha Smith | 10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kaayla Chones | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Macchi * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 31 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 14-18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 30 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 29 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Raffaella Masciadri | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Teresa Weatherspoon | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Christi Thomas | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Doneeka Lewis | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter