Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -3 (60-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 37 | 11-18 | 4-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 18 | - |
| T. Williams-Jeter | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A. Jacobs | 25 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Lassiter | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| H. Darling | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Edwards | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Abrosimova | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Lovelace | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Butts | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 37 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| P. Taylor | 37 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 8-9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 13 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 36 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| P. Pierson | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Moore | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Wright | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Christensen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter