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2004-07-12

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.1 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Agnieszka Bibrzycka * 32 1-9 1-7 2-2 2 6 0 0 4 5 0 -
Shannon Johnson * 31 3-7 0-1 1-1 3 2 1 0 1 7 5 -
Adrienne Goodson * 31 5-9 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 4 11 5 -
Margo Dydek * 28 5-7 0-0 5-5 9 1 1 3 1 15 21 -
LaToya Thomas * 23 4-11 0-0 4-5 4 1 0 0 2 12 4 -
Tai Dillard 14 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Mandisa Stevenson 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Gwen Jackson 11 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Toccara Williams 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
Jessie Hicks 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauren Jackson * 34 9-15 2-2 5-5 7 2 1 1 1 25 20 -
Sue Bird * 34 6-10 1-3 0-0 8 9 3 0 2 13 21 -
Betty Lennox * 31 4-12 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 9 3 -
Sheri Sam * 31 6-8 0-0 0-0 5 4 3 0 1 12 15 -
Kamila Vodichkova * 25 4-10 0-0 2-3 3 2 1 0 0 10 6 -
Janell Burse 20 2-6 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 6 5 -
Adia Barnes 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Tully Bevilaqua 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Alicia Thompson 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter