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2004-07-12

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Detroit Shock Spread Result
Elo 53.2% 46.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% -
Margin 56.8% 43.2% -1.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% -

Actual: Detroit Shock -16 (51-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Penicheiro 27 1-7 0-3 0-0 4 5 3 0 3 2 4 -
T. Smith 26 3-10 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 2 2 7 -1 -
Y. Griffith 22 3-7 0-0 3-4 5 0 3 2 1 9 11 -
K. Lawson 20 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 2 3 0 1 8 6 -
D. Walker 20 2-7 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 0 3 4 -3 -
C. Anderson 16 2-5 0-0 5-7 7 1 0 2 2 9 12 -
R. Brunson 16 5-9 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
H. Maiga-Ba 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
R. Bolton 10 4-5 2-3 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 11 7 -
L. Grooms 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 2 0 2 6 -
E. Campbell 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nolan 35 4-13 0-2 3-4 10 4 3 0 6 11 9 -
S. Cash 29 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 2 3 7 7 -
C. Ford 28 3-6 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 2 2 8 8 -
R. Riley 22 5-10 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 5 11 4 -
C. Jones 19 1-5 0-0 1-1 0 3 0 0 3 3 -2 -
B. Farris 16 0-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
M. Jones 13 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
I. Sanchez 10 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 3 5 2 -
I. Tillis 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
A. Walker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Carter 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 2 0 0 1 3 -

* = starter