Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 38 | 11-25 | 2-8 | 7-9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 16 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 4-16 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| P. Taylor | 30 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P. Pierson | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. McCray-Penson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Christensen | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Robinson | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Moore | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Baranova | 36 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| B. Hammon | 33 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| V. Johnson | 33 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| C. Robinson | 26 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Donaphin | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Frett | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Christon | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter