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2004-07-11

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Minnesota Lynx Spread Result
Elo 61.5% 38.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% -
Margin 53.3% 46.7% -0.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% -

Actual: Minnesota Lynx +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 35 6-10 0-0 7-7 4 1 0 1 2 19 13 -
T. Penicheiro 35 1-5 0-1 1-2 2 4 2 0 0 3 6 -
Y. Griffith 30 7-13 0-0 4-6 6 3 4 1 2 18 17 -
D. Walker 27 4-8 0-0 3-6 3 4 0 0 2 11 8 -
K. Lawson 26 3-8 1-4 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 9 3 -
R. Brunson 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 4 6 -
R. Bolton 14 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 4 2 -
E. Campbell 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
H. Maiga-Ba 8 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 2 5 2 -
C. Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Smith 42 12-22 6-10 4-5 5 4 1 0 3 34 19 -
N. Ohlde 24 2-4 0-0 5-7 4 2 1 2 1 9 13 -
T. Williams-Jeter 24 0-4 0-1 4-5 5 1 0 0 3 4 3 -
A. Jacobs 23 1-6 1-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 3 2 -
V. Hayden-Johnson 20 2-6 0-0 5-7 7 0 0 0 0 9 10 -
H. Darling 19 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 5 5 2 -
S. Lovelace 18 3-5 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 1 8 7 -
A. Lassiter 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 1 1 5 6 -
T. Edwards 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
S. Abrosimova 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -
T. Butts 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -

* = starter