Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -4 (61-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Douglas | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| N. Sales | 31 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Whalen | 30 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| W. Palmer | 28 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Jones | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Brungo | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Willingham | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Black | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Futrell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Miller | 37 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Catchings | 36 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 6 | - |
| S. White | 35 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| N. Williams | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Jackson | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Ivey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter